Rare Book Monthly

Articles - January - 2023 Issue

What are old books telling us about the future?

The future??

The future??

Not so much.  Transactions+ is the history of printed paper at auction and it’s tough for new terms to break in.  Covid is still very new and there are only 336 appearances of the estimated 2 billion words in this database so far.  In time Covid collections will enter into the auction rooms and fresh references will pile up.  For me, that will be left to future hands while I continue to mask-up and keep my fingers crossed.

 

Other terms are literally dying out.  Five hundred years ago plague and pestilence were probably front page stories too and we can tell the number of appearances is declining, as pestilence weighs in at 594 and plague at 8,052.

 

Other trends are holding.  References to major publishing locations are still increasing:

 

London:  1,901,468

 

New York:  1,356,234

 

Paris:  1,011,739

 

Philadelphia:  280,769

 

Washington:  272,701

 

Chicago:  133,115

 

Rome:  100,043

 

In time there will be places on this list we’ve never thought about.

 

As to subjects that appear in Transactions+ they appear to be the raw material of a serious study.

 

Often old books focus on life’s downsides.  A search for war in Transactions+ finds 504,027 records while peace finds 47,825.  On the other hand love finds 110,628 while hate has 3,354.  Interestingly future and past are about equal:  43,411 versus 47,329.  Certainty tops uncertainty although neither term has been widely used, shows up with 2,061 versus 1,445.

 

Another way to challenge Transactions+ is to run these two searches:  religion and science.  Religion wins big with 1,253,081 while science has a respectable showing with 304,075.  I assume science will be gaining ground week by week into the future.

 

As well, life wins over death with 539,175 versus 169,957 while birth registers at 20,930.  Searches for cure and disease have a slight positive bias; 9,573 versus 8,411.

 

As to other terms:

 

Manuscript:  395,683

 

Manuscripts:  773,725

 

Newspaper:  47,418

 

Ephemera:  120,005

 

Map:  487,144

 

Maps:  720,330

 

And finally two silly ones:

 

Hells-bells 6

 

Supercalifragilisticexpialidocious 20

 

To personalize your experience run your own searches.  Transactions+ is a mirror.

Rare Book Monthly

  • Forum Auctions
    Fine Books, Manuscripts and Works on Paper
    28th May 2026
    Forum, May 28: Book of Hours.- Heures de nostre dame a l'usaige de Romme, Paris, Antoine Chappiel pour Germain Hardouin, [1504]. £6,000-8,000
    Forum, May 28: Colonna (Francesco). La Hypnerotomachia di Poliphilo, second edition, Venice, Sons of Aldus Manutius, 1545. £15,000-20,000
    Forum, May 28: The Christ Child holding a crystal orb and surrounded by banderoles with devotional exhortations, on a leaf most probably from a Book of Hours, [Southern Netherlands, last decades of the fifteenth century]. £2,000-3,000
    Forum Auctions
    Fine Books, Manuscripts and Works on Paper
    28th May 2026
    Forum, May 28: Jackson (Shirley). The Haunting of Hill House, first English edition, signed presentation inscription from the author to Claude Fredericks, 1960. £2,000-3,000
    Forum, May 28: Lennon (John). In His Own Write, first edition, first impression, signed by the author, 1964. £3,000-4,000
    Forum, May 28: Doves Press.- Keats (John). [Poems], one of 200 copies on paper, Doves Press, 1914. £5,000-7,000
    Forum Auctions
    Fine Books, Manuscripts and Works on Paper
    28th May 2026
    Forum, May 28: Rodrigues (João Barbosa). Sertum Palmarum Brasiliensium, 2 vol., first and only edition, Brussels, 1903. £8,000-12,000
    Forum, May 28: Newton (Sir Isaac). Philosophiae naturalis principia mathematica…editio ultima, auctior et emendatior, Amsterdam, Sumptibus Societatis, 1714. £8,000-12,000
    Forum, May 28: Kepler (Johannes). Ad Vitellionem paralipomena, wuibus astronomiae pars optica traditur, first edition, Frankfurt am Main, 1604. £5,000-7,000
    Forum Auctions
    Fine Books, Manuscripts and Works on Paper
    28th May 2026
    Forum, May 28: Tagliacozzi (Gaspare). De Curtorum Chirurgia per insitionem, libri duo, first edition, Venice, Gasparo Bindoni, 1597. £7,000-10,000
    Forum, May 28: Lootsman (Jacobsz). The Lightning Colomne, or Sea-Mirrour, containing the Sea-Coasts of the Northern, Eastern and Western Navigation..., 1670. £8,000-12,000
    Forum, May 28: Ribelles y Helip (José), Attributed to. An album comprising 33 finely executed watercolours of Spanish costume, bull-fighting scenes, and other genre subjects, [circa 1830]. £10,000-15,000

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